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Cake day: Jan 09, 2024
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It depends on how that country is formed, and what happens to Jerusalem.
If Israel withdraws from west bank and Gaza, and truly allows them to be a sovereign state(s), with their own navy, air force, ground force, then the US would step in via the UAE. I would also guess that they will get lots of money coming in from other Arab governments because they all want influence in Palestine, in addition to money from Arabs as people.
In terms of government, if elections are held I assume Hamas would win (in Gaza and wb). In which case countries like Egypt will start being less friendly towards Hamas than they are right now, because they can be seen as a viable government. The reason Egyptian government would dislike Hamas is because they are a spin-off of the brotherhood, which the sisi couped in order to gain power. Generally, Egyptian government is very afraid of the brotherhood and will root them out wherever possible because they are often the only party (other than police and military) that may be in a position to rule the country.
In terms of long term economy and how the government would function I have no idea. Hamas controls an area the size of a small town, and the Palestinian authority has no real autonomy, its not even allowed to collect taxes. My guess tho is that it will resemble south Africa in terms of infrastructure (garbage).
I don’t think it will collapse like Libya and be run by criminals, but it won’t be as prosperous and safe as many of the Gulf countries.
Basically I’m talking out of my ass, there’s really no way to know
Not sure if it counts but the devonian extinction is probably my favorite. Wiped out a bunch of marine vertebrates (I hate fish, they had it coming)
The theories behind why it happened changed, and it’s technically two small extinction events. Although it is pretty big iirc >95% of the worlds vertebrates died off and did not come back
Trump started off coherent, but ~30% in he went of the rails.
Kamala on the other hand looks like she has no strong values, she doesn’t seem like a Dem candidate. What kind of Dem candidate is pro fracking? Kamala honestly seems disingenuous.
Trump on the other hand didn’t form more than 20 complete sentences, so I can’t really call him disingenuous because he doesn’t seem to stand for anything
Watr in Ukraine is proxy war
The reality is that NATO and the United States, are now, without question, in a proxy war with Russia," former CIA director and US defense secretary Leon Panetta told the ABC.
"Maybe it’s not a direct war, but it certainly is a proxy war, in terms of their efforts to make Putin pay a price.
That is their stated goal, but their actions show otherwise.
They mostly fight other Sunni Muslim organizations like Taliban, Hamas, Al Qaeda, which does not help in their stated goal.
They claim to follow the teachings of an author called Sayed Qutb, who is a really big figure in the Muslim brotherhood (which Hamas comes from) yet they attack Hamas.
Also
IS ideologues rarely uphold adherence to Islamic scholarship and law manuals for reference, mostly preferring to derive rulings based on self-interpretation of the Qur’an and Muslim traditions
Compare ISIS with the Taliban, an actual fascist organization which wants to rule in such a manner. Taliban mainly operated in Afghanistan, against invaders be they Russians, NATO, whatever. They did not operate in foreign countries like ISIS does. ISIS openly admits that it wants to destabilize other countries and radicalize Muslims living abroad to convince them to commit acts of terror
ISIS wants to stir religious hatred in Europe and the United States – so that Muslims no longer feel they belong in the West, and either carry out attacks in their homelands or leave to join the caliphate.
If they genuinely wanted to establish a caliphate they would first focus on gaining regional dominance, then either freeing Al quds, and occupying mecca.
Instead they fight Hamas, and try to get Muslims to commit acts of terror abroad
Interestingly enough the arabic wikipedia page doesn’t say much about that…
So, for the judicial oversight part. Mubarak had stacked the court with judges that were loyal to him. Morsi knew that they would not approve any new constitution in an effort to slow him down. Basically, they wanted him to go around them in order to poke holes in the people’s new democracy.
So morsi diluted their power by freeing executive decrees and the constitutional assembly from judicial review
At the same time, the brotherhood and allies had a 75% majority in parliament, and the secular + coptic representatives felt like they would be steamrolled so they walked out. They couldn’t delay making a new constitution till they had a majority because there was a deadline set in place by the temporary constitution.
Meaning that on paper and in practicality, he had supreme power. Which he promised to give back…
We all know how that goes don’t we…
Well this time it was different, the president actually did give back ultimate power, after pushing the deadline for forming a new constitution.
Pushing back the deadline contradicts the temporary constitution meaning that it would definitely go to the supreme court. But he got around that.
Morsi then put the new constitution to a public vote, and it gained 60% approval.
As for the protestors and journalist issues, when i clicked on the wikipedia article/source it basically talked about rabaa ( a massacre that happened when the brotherhood was overthrown) and how the same things happened under morsi to his opposition (it did not). It linked to another article where it talks about a morsi speech.
In that speech he called the protestors thugs, and accused them of being paid protestors (this does happen in egypt, and sisi accidentally admitted that it happened when removing mubarak and again when removing morsi. Although i don’t think it was a major factor this time).
Basically he did say some shady stuff, but that doesn’t mean he is a dictator. I believe that he wasn’t on his way to becoming a dictator because he had ultimate power and gave it away in addition to stuff in the other comment
Alot of people are saying if morsi was authoritarian enough he would still be in power. Morsi wouldn’t have become a dictator, because he’s too naive and believed in the system
Sisi was the leader of mokhabraat (مخبرات) during Mubarak’s regime. Basically he ran the egyptian version of secret police, he would lock up (and execute occasionally) Morsi’s allies and any others dissenters.
Instead of executing him or sending him to jail. Morsi, who wanted to mend the relationship between factions, promoted him to the minister of defense. A position which he used to coup morsi.
In the 11 months he ruled, Morsi showed no sign of going dictator, doesn’t seem like he has it in him. He seemed like a big believer in democracy, but who knows what would’ve happened.
In other words, he was not planning to do so at the time. Else he would have consolidated military power instead of handing it over to his biggest enemy…
There are several reasons why egypt won’t help:
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The current dictator, Sisi, has effectively thrown away all international influence in exchange for US aid and western intelligence which he uses to surveil the Egyptian population. That’s why israel egypt relations are good. It’s because he has become the west’s bitch
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Leaked talks with mubarak and bibi show that bibi wants to displace all Palestinians into sinai, and basically form a new palestine
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Egyptians can no longer help Palestinians the way they used to because of increased surveillance by the government, and decreased support. Mubarak used to unofficially condone smuggling weapons and digging tunnels to gaza (whether that’s because he wanted to extract more money from the US or because he truly wanted to help is debatable, imo its the former). Sisi does not…
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Sisi led a coup against our only democratically elected president, morsi, whose party was the muslim brotherhood. The muslim brotherhood is being cracked down on really hard in egypt with all the big players either executed or thrown in prison. Even supporting them will lead to you being thrown in jail. The brotherhood has alot of support amongst Palestinians, which is why sisi does not want to let them in.
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Tillamook cheese